Knowledge Base Repository
In addition to research papers, the Design Society is developing several valuable resources for those interested in the study of design. These include a repository of PhD theses, a library of case studies and transcripts of design activities, and an archive of our newsletters. Please note that these resources are accessible exclusively to Design Society members.
FORECASTING OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS BASED ON HISTORIC ANALYSIS
Bauer ,W.; Werner, C.; Elezi, F.; Maurer ,M.
Type:
Year:
2014
Editor:
Marjanovic Dorian, Storga Mario, Pavkovic Neven, Bojcetic Nenad
Author:
Series:
DESIGN
Section:
DESIGN PROCESSES
Page(s):
735-748
Abstract:
Due to a high required variety and changes in the environment, product platforms should represent a stable, unchanged core over its lifecycle. Flexible modules provide the product differentiation. We developed an three-step analysis and forecast approach: the first step includes a historic analysis of offered variants. Based on this, a prognosis of future developments is executed by mathematical models. In the last step, the previous results are compared to determine the dynamics of the characteristics for a robust product platform design. The approach is validated by an industrial case study.
Keywords:
