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In addition to research papers, the Design Society is developing several valuable resources for those interested in the study of design. These include a repository of PhD theses, a library of case studies and transcripts of design activities, and an archive of our newsletters. Please note that these resources are accessible exclusively to Design Society members.

AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines

Knepler, Jonas (1); Seidenberg, Tobias (1); Grigoryan, Khoren (1); Asmar, Laban (1); Dumitrescu, Roman (2)

Type:
Papers
DS 145: Proceedings of the DESIGN2026 19th International Design Conference
Year:
2026
Editor:
Štorga, M.; Škec, S.; Martinec, T.; Marjanović, D.; Pavković, N.
Author:
Knepler, Jonas (1); Seidenberg, Tobias (1); Grigoryan, Khoren (1); Asmar, Laban (1); Dumitrescu, Roman (2)
Series:
DESIGN
Institution:
1: Fraunhofer IEM, Germany; 2: Paderborn University, Germany
Page(s):
2373-2382
DOI number:
10.1017/pds.2026.10595
ISSN:
2732-527X (Online)
Abstract:
Small and medium-sized enterprises often lack the time, expertise, and tools for effective scenario management. This paper proposes a modular, AI-enabled scenario architecture integrating a guided wizard and expert environment on a shared knowledge backbone. The design aims to reduce effort and tool fragmentation while preserving human judgment, structural quality, explainability, and traceability. The proposed pattern outlines a provenance-aware foresight pipeline with human-in-the-loop capabilities that aims to transform one-off projects into reusable organizational knowledge.
Keywords:
artificial intelligence (AI), innovation management, software engineering, scenario management, strategic foresight
DESIGN2026 - The 19th International Design Conference
Conferences

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